Comments on: Democratic doomsday….Really?

By: JFesta

JFesta — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 21:27:54 +0000

Consti,

I have checked a great many news outlets and I can only find two references to party switching, Parker Griffith in Alabama who has switched to the Republican side, and Arlen Specter who became a Democrat. I will take your word for it that there are two others ( I am assuming in the House) that are switching parties. If you’d provide me with their names, I’d like to look into this further before commenting on it. The only thing I am aware of at this point is that several members of the House, Bobby Bright of Alabama, Travis Childers of Mississippi, Walt Minnick of Idaho, and Chris Careny of Pennsylvania, have been approached about changing to the Republican side, but none have indicated they would.

With regard to your comment. I didn’t mention the party switching I was aware of because the scope of this piece was very narrow, focusing on Senate seats where the incumbent was retiring. Arlen Specter was not mentioned because he is running for reelection, though I think he will lose in the primary to Joe Sestak. Parker Griffith was not discussed because he is a house member.

By: brunettebabe2012

brunettebabe2012 — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 20:16:54 +0000

There is a lot of time between now and the November election. A lot can change and you will have people throwing their hats into the political arena. Like I said in an earlier comment, it will be survival of the fittest in many cases.

By: Consti Tution

Consti Tution — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 15:48:06 +0000

Just one little point I’d like to make here. Where is the mention of the 3 democrats that stated they will switch parties? I think you will see a couple more jump ship before the election. That sort of throws a monkey wrench in your numbers. Just saying…

By: Benjammin

Benjammin — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 06:25:30 +0000

No-Spin Zone???

I had no idea Bill O’reilly owned this site.

No-Spin Zone…kinda amateurish, don’t ya think???

By: Benjammin

Benjammin — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 06:19:27 +0000

Lizbeth –

” The Republicans situation is much more precarious. Six Republicans have announced that they will be seeking other offices or retiring all together.”

Nothing has been made of the 6 Republican’s leaving office? Did you even read the article???

By: Lizbeth

Lizbeth — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 04:00:47 +0000

I notice that while much has been made on this site about the 2 Dems leaving the Senate, nothing has been made of the six GOP who are leaving…So much for the No-Spin zone on here…

By: Erik the Red

Erik the Red — Sat, 09 Jan 2010 22:31:01 +0000

JFesta,

I’ll start off reiterating how I appreciate the research you put into your articles.

You hit it on the head in the last paragraph. November IS a long time away and right now, it’s the Democrats’ election to lose. However, if the poll numbers/approval ratings continue to move the way they did the final 8 months of 2009, an 11-seat flip is not inconceivable (It would actually need to be larger than that considering the distinct possiblity that at least a couple of GOP seats will be lost). This is not necessarily wishful thinking on my part because, as I’ve mentioned before, if these theoretical 11 victors have a lousy Freedom Index track record, then you might as well leave the Democrats in. But from a pure partisan perspective, this 11-seat flip is in no way outside of the realm of possibility.